Alarmists Anonymous

The latest example of arctic hysteria comes from the usual suspects published at the usual venue, Inside Climate News. Polar Ice Is Disappearing, Setting Off Climate Alarms

Excerpts below with my bolds: The short-term consequences of Arctic (and Antarctic) warming may already be felt in other latitudes. The long-term threat to coastlines is becoming even more dire.

“When you’re taking out 30, 40, almost 50 percent of the ice cover, that’s a big change in the environment,” Meier said. “Whether we’re seeing it yet, there’s still some debate, but whether there will be an effect as we continue to lose ice, I think that’s pretty obvious.”

“There’s no evidence that anything is recovering here,” said Mark Serreze, the director of the NSIDC. “What we’ve seen historically is a downward trend in ice extent in all months. Superimposed on that are the ups and downs of natural variability. We’re going to continue to head downward.

“We are looking at an ice-free Arctic Ocean sometime in the 2040s,” said Serreze. “There’s no evidence that we’ve seen anything like this before.”

Ted Scambos, lead scientist with the National Snow and Ice Data Center, said that while the current pace of melting is not alarming, a series of papers “has led to a realization that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet may already be in an irreversible retreat.

Greenland is melting, too—for now, it’s the biggest threat. “Greenland has become Loserville,” said Jason Box, who tracks ice for the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland.

“New observations from many different sources confirm that ice-sheet loss is accelerating,” the United States Global Change Research Program said in its comprehensive special report on climate science. “Up to 8.5 feet of global sea level rise is possible by 2100” in a worst-case emissions scenario. That’s almost 2 feet more than scientists expected just a few years ago.

“So we’re guaranteed significant sea level rise no matter what we do, even under the optimistic Paris scenario,” Box said. “We had better prepare.”

These warnings of wolves are starting to sound the same: “It never happened before, is not happening now, but it will surely destroy us in the future if we don’t do something.”

Meanwhile the facts on the ground are not alarming: For example September minimums:
More details at Overachieving September Arctic ice

And the refreezing is not at all unusual:
The AAs (Arctic Alarmists) are putting their faith in the BBs (Barents and Bering), the only two basins below average this year. Both are marginal to the Arctic Ocean and both are heavily affected by human marine activities, including shipping, navies, fishing, tourism and sea floor extraction.

These outrageous appeals by alarmists in the face of contrary facts remind me of the story defining the term “chutzpuh.” A young man is convicted of killing his parents, and later appears before the judge for sentencing. Asked to give any last words, he replies: “Go easy on me, your Honor, I’m an orphan.”
Fortunately, there is help for climate alarmists. They can join or start a chapter of Alarmists Anonymous. By following the Twelve Step Program, it is possible to recover and unite in service to the real world and humanity.

Step One: Fully concede (admit) to our innermost selves that we were addicted to climate fear mongering.

Step Two: Come to believe that a Power greater than ourselves causes weather and climate, restoring us to sanity.

Step Three: Make a decision to study and understand how the natural world works.

Step Four: Make a searching and fearless moral inventory of ourselves, our need to frighten others and how we have personally benefited by expressing alarms about the climate.

Step Five: Admit to God, to ourselves, and to another human being the exact nature of our exaggerations and false claims.

Step Six: Become ready to set aside these notions and actions we now recognize as objectionable and groundless.

Step Seven: Seek help to remove every single defect of character that produced fear in us and led us to make others afraid.

Step Eight: Make a list of all persons we have harmed and called “deniers”, and become willing to make amends to them all.

Step Nine: Apologize to people we have frightened or denigrated and explain the errors of our ways.

Step Ten: Continue to take personal inventory and when new illusions creep into our thinking, promptly renounce them.

Step Eleven: Dedicate ourselves to gain knowledge of natural climate factors and to deepen our understanding of nature’s powers and ways of working.

Step Twelve: Having awakened to our delusion of climate alarm, we try to carry this message to other addicts, and to practice these principles in all our affairs.

Summary:

With a New Year close at hand, let us hope that many climate alarmists take the opportunity to turn the page by resolving a return to sanity. It is not too late to get right with reality before the cooling comes in earnest.

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9 comments

  1. Jack Broughton · December 27

    After step 1 i was forced to conclude that you are really enjoying the festive season in a big way. Happy New Year.
    Jack.

    Like

    • Ron Clutz · December 28

      Thanks Jack, I have been fearless for five years now, one day at a time. Best wishes for success in 2018.

      Liked by 1 person

  2. gregole · December 29

    Twelve Step Program for Climate Alarmists…Loved it!

    Have a happy New Year Ron!

    Like

    • Ron Clutz · December 31

      Thanks gregole. This motto for 2018: “We have nothing to fear but fear itself.”

      Like

  3. manicbeancounter · December 30

    Steps three and eleven appear the same.
    Maybe an alternative is to look past short-term prophecies of doom, and see how accurate they were. For instance,

    – predictions of the Arctic being effectively ice-free by 2013.
    – predictions of accelerating polar ice cap melt, whether in Greenland, West Antarctica or East Antarctica.
    – predictions of hurricances getting more frequent and severe following Katrina in 2005.
    – predictions of increasing climate refugees.
    – predictions of accelerating global warming, or temperatures suddenly leaping up (forgetting that this makes climate mitigation to constrain temperatures to 2C useless).
    – AR4 prediction of crop yields decreasing by up to 50% in some African countries by 2020. Turns out this was from a study of Morocco, Tunisia and Algeria. The decrease in crop yields was by a non-rigorous extrapolation of a short-term trend (likely not AGW related) for a small part of Morocco.

    Like

    • ClimateOtter · December 30

      #s 3 and 11 are roughly the same, yes. But at the same time: STUDY, STUDY, STUDY! can never be said often enough.

      Like

      • Ron Clutz · December 30

        True Otter. #3 is a decision to recognize the primacy of natural causation and our present limited understanding and lack of control over natural events. #11 is study and research to grasp what is known and to add to climate knowledge.

        Like

  4. ClimateOtter · December 30

    Ron, I borrowed a piece of your article, with a link back to you of course! https://kajm.deviantart.com/art/New-Year-s-Resolutions-for-Climate-Alarmists-722759305

    Like

  5. hunter · March 6

    Excellent!
    I was travelling back from overseas and missed this gem.

    Like

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