Hot Air about Arctic Ice

We are currently treated to another expose of the Climate Scare Machine doing its job. Perhaps you’ve seen these eyeball-grabbing headlines in the last week.

Freak storm in North Atlantic to lash UK, may push temperatures over 50 degrees above normal at North Pole @Washington Post

Arctic ‘heatwave’ hits the North Pole: Storm Frank causes temperatures to soar by 60°F taking the icy region close to melting point @Daily Mail

Arctic ‘heat wave’ sets new record low for sea ice @The Weather Network

These rumor mills start with a factoid, in this case an unusual weather event. Then some know-nothing “journalists” look for quotes from scientists who should know better, but want to grab attention with a sound-bite. Then the editors are off to the races making up headlines to raise circulations and advertising rates.

So, there was a storm called Frank, and it did push warm, moist air toward the North Pole.  From NSIDC (here)

The event was linked to the combination of a very strong low pressure system near Iceland and a somewhat less intense low pressure system located near the North Pole. . . This created a strong, deep inflow of warm, moist air into the Arctic Ocean’s high latitudes. The low near Iceland strengthened rapidly in the last days of December, reaching a minimum pressure of 935 millibars, equivalent to a hurricane. While the event was remarkable and may account for the slow ice growth during the first few days of January 2016, it was short lived and is unlikely to have any long-term effects on the sea ice cover.

And yes, there was a pause in the rate of ice growth in December.

MASIE Dec-Jan 2015 & 16

Here is MASIE data for the last 16 days (Dec. 21 through Jan. 5) compared to averages for the last decade. You can see the pause, and then the acceleration of ice growth in 2016, moving almost 400k km2 above average.

Conclusion:

Do not trust mass media for unbiased reporting of climate news.

And they are pulling the same trick, hoping to melt the Greenland ice sheet by blowing hot air over it.  What you need to know:  Greenland is Melting! Really?

About MASIE produced by NIC (from NSIDC)

The NSIDC Sea Ice Index ice extent is widely used, but the edge position can be off by 10s or in some cases 100s of kilometers. NIC produces a better ice edge product, but it does not reach the same audience as the Sea Ice Index.

In June 2014, we decided to make the MASIE product available back to 2006. This was done in response to user requests, and because the IMS product output, upon which MASIE is based, appeared to be reasonably consistent.

Footnote:

Maybe if all that hot air could be captured, it could be useful, like this:

But wait!  That hot air appears to be rising, rather descending to melt the ice. Hmmm.

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2 comments

  1. ArndB · January 12, 2016

    Some years ago I thought to give “a salute” to Al Gore
    http://www.oceanclimate.de/Archiv/april_09.html

    “Al Gore said in July 2007: “Just in the last few months, new studies have shown that the north pole ice cap – which helps the planet cool itself – is melting nearly three times faster than the most pessimistic computer models predicted” [1] A few months later, he, together with the IPCC, were honored with the Peace Nobel Prize in December 2007 for “for their efforts to build up and disseminate greater knowledge about man-made climate change, and to lay the foundations for the measures that are needed to counteract such change”. The awarding Committee was presumably not aware that neither of the two Nobel laureate had hardly anything achieved in explaining why the Arctic warmed the Northern Hemisphere during the first half of the last century. Al Gore’s had paid the North Pole a visit by submarine before becoming Vice President of the U.S.A:
    “We were crashing through that ice, surfacing, and I was standing in an eerily beautiful snowscape, windswept, and sparkling white, with the horizon defined by little hummocks, or ‘pressure ridges’ of ice that are pushed up like tiny mountains ranges when separate sheets collide. But here too, CO2 levels are rising just as rapidly, …As the polar air warms, the ice here will thin; and since the polar cap plays such a crucial role in the world’s weather system, the consequences of a thinning cap could be disastrous” [2]”

    Time has not made me happier!

    Like

  2. ArndB · January 12, 2016

    OHHH! Sorry I missed the better part ( rest text from http://www.oceanclimate.de/Archiv/april_09.html

    “Al Gore’s North Pole visit took place about 1990. As almost two decades have passed, one can only wonder that he and his fellow alerter on global and arctic warming still understand so little about at least the early part of the warming in the Arctic. Instead he claimed recently:
    • “We – the human species – have arrived at a moment of decision.”
    • “What is at risk of being destroyed is not our planet itself, but the conditions that have made it hospitable for human beings”.
    • “We – all of us – now face a universal threat. Though it is not from outside this world, it is nevertheless cosmic in scale.” (NYT, 1 July 2007).
    How can someone talk about a cosmic scale threat if he is not able and obviously not interested in understanding a ‘climatic revolution’ that occurred under the eyes of modern science only 90 years ago? The explanation is presumably simple. Whoever is talking about climate without thinking comprehensively in the terms conditioned by the oceans and seas, will get not far in understanding what makes climate tick and where and when human activities are changing climate due to altering the ‘natural structure and course’ of the oceans and seas.”

    Like

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